Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.386052 0.422214 0.460808 0.505154 0.554817 0.608849 0.672254
2025-12-07 0.322271 0.371999 0.428696 0.498514 0.582708 0.681634 0.807657
2025-12-14 0.284492 0.340249 0.406670 0.492395 0.601214 0.736244 0.918850
2025-12-21 0.252400 0.310103 0.381189 0.476339 0.602106 0.765148 0.996671
2025-12-28 0.237065 0.298449 0.376415 0.484343 0.632499 0.832702 1.130720
2026-01-04 0.223669 0.287623 0.371058 0.490049 0.659022 0.896133 1.264795
2026-01-11 0.211332 0.276903 0.364505 0.492823 0.680728 0.953697 1.395683
2026-01-18 0.200290 0.266914 0.357860 0.494372 0.700037 1.008632 1.527879
2026-01-25 0.191475 0.259245 0.353651 0.498682 0.723209 1.070828 1.678226
2026-02-01 0.179511 0.246253 0.340804 0.488901 0.723494 1.096515 1.769829
2026-02-08 0.172248 0.239516 0.336492 0.491500 0.743051 1.154551 1.923778
2026-02-15 0.164004 0.230797 0.328590 0.487754 0.751718 1.194773 2.049986
2026-02-22 0.157838 0.224922 0.324749 0.490362 0.771454 1.256487 2.225994
2026-03-01 0.149986 0.216063 0.315789 0.484019 0.775427 1.290755 2.353608
2026-03-08 0.142902 0.207978 0.307513 0.478116 0.779461 1.325156 2.485643
2026-03-15 0.134273 0.197043 0.294100 0.462623 0.765100 1.323681 2.542285
2026-03-22 0.131221 0.194715 0.294328 0.470347 0.793226 1.405702 2.789950
2026-03-29 0.127916 0.191787 0.293369 0.475852 0.817573 1.482654 3.038146
2026-04-05 0.124274 0.188118 0.290945 0.478528 0.836660 1.550810 3.276633
2026-04-12 0.120643 0.184281 0.288009 0.480023 0.853477 1.615849 3.518050
2026-04-19 0.117712 0.181450 0.286606 0.484181 0.875806 1.694833 3.807638
2026-04-26 0.112608 0.174755 0.278208 0.474744 0.869878 1.711421 3.938044
2026-05-03 0.109806 0.171825 0.276210 0.477252 0.888642 1.785022 4.234047